Sau đây là một số nhận định về thị trường Nông sản phiên giao dịch 16.3.2021 của đội ngũ phân tích giaodichhanghoa.net.
Nhìn lại nhận định thị trường hàng hóa tuần 15.3 đến 19.3.2021
Nhận định về Lúa mỳ tháng 5 (ZWAK21).
Nhận định của chúng tôi về đà phục hồi tăng của lúa mỳ đã hiện thực ngay từ đầu tuần, giá mở phiên hôm qua ở 638, thấp nhất trong ngày ở 636, cao nhất ở 647.6 và đóng cửa 643.6
Xét ở khung ngắn H1 giá đang nằm ngay ở vùng kháng cự 646-649. Nhà đầu tư cần quan sát vùng này và chiến lược giao dịch của chúng ta có thể là:
- Chờ BUY khi giá nằm trên các hỗ trợ 646-649 và cho tín hiệu xác nhận lúc này target 1 là vùng giá 557.
Chúng ta sẽ đánh giá lại tình hình khi giá nằm ở vùng 557 do đó cũng là vùng giá quan trọng hiện là kháng cự trên H4 của lúa mỳ.
Nhận định về Ngô tháng 5 (ZCEK21).
Chúng tôi có nhận định về giá Ngô tăng lên 649 cho chiến lược SELL ngắn lệnh ngô vì đây hiện đang là hỗ trợ khung H4, giá hiện tại đang ở 548 chính là vùng giá này.
Giá đã có những phản ứng và đã dừng lại ở hỗ trợ này nhưng đánh giá tổng quan thị trường có thể nhận thấy yếu tố tăng giá đã có dấu hiệu xuất hiện. Khu vực này nên quan sát chờ tín hiệu xác nhận trước khi vào lệnh, nhận định của chúng tôi là:
- Ưu tiên chờ đợi lệnh BUY khi giá vượt qua được hỗ trợ 649 khung H4 và test lại điểm này để vào lệnh cho target 560.
- SELL ngắn khi giá đóng nến H4 dưới mức 545.
Nhận định về Đậu tương tháng 5 (ZSEK21)
Chúng tôi đã đánh giá khả năng đậu tương đi quanh vùng giá sideway 1398-1420, giá thực tế trong ngày của đậu tương đã giảm từ 1419 về 1402 và tăng lại từ 1402 về 1418.
Đã có một số dấu hiệu cho thấy việc đậu tương có thể lấy lại đà tăng giá, chiến lược giao dịch của chúng tôi phiên hôm nay là:
- Chờ đợi BUY khi giá đậu tương nằm trên mức 1426
- Mở lệnh BUY ở các vùng giá tiềm năng 1398.
Các lệnh BUY ở đây có thể dừng lỗ ở mức ngắn, điểm này chúng ta hạn chế SELL ngắn.
Nhận định về khô đậu tương tháng 5 (ZMEK21).
Chúng tôi vẫn giữ quan điểm về nhận định tuần của Khô đậu: khả năng cao là giá sẽ về lại vùng 37x trước khi có thể trở lại xu hướng tăng cho dầu đậu nên chiến lịch giao dịch của chúng ta sẽ là
- SELL ngắn tại vùng 409-410 cho target 390, 375.
- BUY cho chiến lược dài hạn ở mức giá 37x .
Nhận định về dầu đậu tương tháng 5 ( ZLEK21).
Chúng ta vẫn nhất quán quan điểm là dầu đậu chỉ có thể mở lệnh BUY khi giá hồi về các vùng hỗ trợ
- Phiên giao dịch này chúng ta có thể chờ đợi giá về lại các vùng 54.7x để mua lại cho giá về lại ít nhất vùng 55.4x.
Trên đây là một số nhận định về thị trường hàng hóa nông sản, chú ý các hợp đồng phân tích của chúng tôi là tháng 5.2021. Khúc này nhà đầu tư quan sát và có tín hiệu xác nhận các lệnh BUY với vào lệnh, chúng tôi đánh giá những phiên tuần này sẽ xác nhận cho đợt tăng trở lại của hàng hóa. Nhà đầu tư cần cẩn trọng và luôn đặt dừng lỗ cho giao dịch.
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