Giá đậu tương và ngũ cốc kỳ hạn giảm sau ba phiên tăng liên tiếp qua đêm trong bối cảnh có khả năng chốt lời từ các nhà đầu tư đặt cược vào giá cao hơn.
Giá đậu tương tại Chicago Board of Trade đạt mức cao nhất trong hơn hai năm vào thứ Sáu trong bối cảnh thời tiết khô hạn ở phần lớn vùng Trung Tây và nhu cầu tăng mạnh. Lúa mì cũng gần mức cao nhất trong sáu tháng vào tuần trước.
Với việc đậu tương đạt mức cao nhất trong nhiều năm, các nhà đầu tư hoặc người bảo hiểm rủi ro đã lâu năm trên thị trường, hoặc đã đặt cược vào giá cao hơn, có thể bán hợp đồng và thanh lý vị thế của họ.
Theo dữ liệu từ Bộ Nông nghiệp Mỹ, các nhà xuất khẩu đã báo cáo doanh số bán đậu nành sang Trung Quốc trong 11 phiên giao dịch vừa qua. Doanh số bán ngô cũng tăng mạnh.
Cũng làm cơ sở cho giá cả là thực tế là không có trận mưa nào có thể đo được đã giảm ở phần lớn Trung Tây trong tuần qua, theo Dịch vụ Thời tiết Quốc gia. Chỉ có 41% sản lượng ngô của Mỹ đã chín vào tuần trước và 5% đã được thu hoạch.
Ngô đã đảo chiều giảm mạnh khi không thể phá vỡ vùng kháng cự 378 trong phiên giao dịch ngày hôm qua.
Đầu phiên Á mở cửa Ngô đã xuất hiện một nến râu dài cả 2 đầu cho thấy lực mua, bán không rõ ràng.
Với chiến lược chính là chiến lược canh BUY vùng 370 hiện tại đang là vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng nhưng với nến đầu phiên lưỡng lự cả bên mua và bên bán NĐT chưa nên vào lệnh ở vùng giá hiện tại, đợi các tín hiệu tốt hơn để có điểm vào lợi thế nhất.
Nếu giá phá vỡ vùng 370 thì có thể tiếp tục sẽ giảm về vùng 360.
Vùng hỗ trợ: 358 – 360
Vùng kháng cự: 377 – 379
2. Phân tích kỹ thuật Lúa Mỳ tháng 12
Chart H4 Lúa Mỳ
Chart H1 Lúa Mỳ
Lúa Mỳ ngày hôm qua cũng đã đảo chiều giảm mạnh sau khi chạm lên vùng 578 và giá giảm mạnh phá vỡ vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng 560 trước đó.
Hiện tại giá đang giao dịch quanh vùng 556 và vùng 560 sẽ là vùng kháng cự gần quan trọng. Vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng hiện tại sẽ là vùng 542.
NĐT canh SELL khi giá đóng dưới 552, dừng lỗ trên đỉnh gần nhất.
Vùng hỗ trợ: 542 – 544
Vùng kháng cự: 560 – 562
3. Phân tích kỹ thuật Đậu Tương tháng 11
Chart H4 Đậu Tương
Chart H1 Đậu Tương
Đậu Tương đầu phiên sáng ngày hôm qua sideway quanh vùng giá 1038 – 1040 và đã đảo chiều giảm mạnh vào phiên Mỹ tối qua. Và vùng 1042 – 1046 là vùng kháng cự quan trọng hiện tại.
Đầu phiên sáng ngày hôm nay giá đang giao dịch quanh vùng 1024 với chiến lược chính là chiến lược canh BUY ở vùng giá hiện tại chưa có điểm vào lợi thế.
Vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng 1004 – 1008 NĐT lưu ý và canh BUY nếu giá có tín hiệu đảo chiều tăng khi về vùng giá này, dừng lỗ dưới đáy gần nhất.
Vùng hỗ trợ: 1004 – 1008
Vùng kháng cự: 1042 – 1046
4. Phân tích kỹ thuật Khô Đậu tháng 10
Chart H4 Khô Đậu
Chart H1 Khô Đậu
Khô Đậu cũng đã có một ngày đảo chiều giảm mạnh khi mở cửa đầu phiên ngày hôm qua giao dịch sideway quanh vùng 336 – 338 đến phiên Mỹ giảm về vùng 332.
Đầu phiên sáng ngày hôm nay giá đã chạm về vùng 330.7 và bật lên. Với vùng 331 là vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng NĐT lưu ý.
Chiến lược chính là chiến lược canh BUY, ở đầu phiên sáng giá chạm về vùng 330.7 và bật lên mạnh tạo nên một nến chân dài cho thấy vùng hỗ trợ phía dưới là vùng hỗ trợ tốt, NĐT tham khảo canh BUY vùng giá hiện tại, dừng lỗ dưới 332.
Vùng hỗ trợ: 331 – 332
Vùng kháng cự: 339 – 340
5. Phân tích kỹ thuật Dầu Đậu tháng 10
Chart H4 Dầu Đậu
Chart H1 Dầu Đậu
Dầu Đậu đầu phiên sáng ngày hôm qua đã có nhịp tăng khi chạm lên 35.45, nhưng đến đầu phiên âu giá đã đảo chiều giảm mạnh, mức giá giao dịch thấp nhất ngày hôm qua là 34.25. Và vùng 34.3 cũng là vùng hỗ trợ hiện tại với Dầu Đậu.
Đầu phiên sáng ngày hôm nay xuất hiện 2 nến xanh tăng khung H1 nhưng đều xuất hiện với giá mở GAP. Vùng giá hiện tại khi giao dịch sẽ có rủi ro cao. NĐT cân nhắc chưa vào lệnh với Dầu Đậu.
Nếu giá tiếp tục giảm vùng hỗ trợ quan trọng tiếp theo là 33.7 – 33.8 NĐT lưu ý
Vùng hỗ trợ: 33.7 – 33.9
Vùng kháng cự: 35.5 – 35.7
60 thoughts on “Nhận định xu hướng hàng hóa ngày 22.9.2020”
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