Bản tin nhận định của giaodichhanghoa.net các hàng hóa đang giao dịch tại sở giao dịch hàng hóa qua góc nhìn đồ thị ichimoku.
Các mặt hàng phân tích theo nhóm hàng Nông sản, nguyên liệu công nghiệp, kim loại và năng lượng.
Nhận định chung về thị trường.
Các hàng hóa đã có một tuần chím trong sắc đỏ ở nhóm nông sản đã có sự giảm giá lớn trong khai vẫn có sắc xanh ở các thị trường khác.
Về chỉ số sức mạnh đồng đô la, yếu tố ảnh hưởng lớn đến giá cả hàng hóa:
Trên đồ thị D1 chúng ta có thể thấy chỉ số này đang dao động trên mức hỗ trợ 91.494, dự báo trong tuần tiếp theo chỉ số này có thể giảm xuống mức hỗ trợ thấp hơn là 90.972 trước khi tăng lại vào tuần tiếp theo nữa.
Nhận định một số hàng hóa thuộc nhóm nông sản
Các nhà đầu tư lưu ý kể từ phiên giao dịch tuần tới, các đồ thị phân tích sẽ sử dụng đồ thị của hợp đồng kỳ hạn tháng 9.2021.
Nhận định về lúa mỳ tháng 9 (ZWU)
Lúa mỳ đã có tuần thứ 2 liên tiếp giảm điểm và hiện tại nằm ở mức giá 640.6 nằm ngay trên mức hỗ trợ quan trọng của các khung tuần và tháng. Tại các khung lớn xu hướng của lúa mỳ vẫn đang là tăng giá, trong khi các khung bé là D1, H4 thì xu hướng đã chuyển thành giảm giá.
Nhận định tuần tới có thể là một tuần tranh chấp của phe bò và gấu tại mức hỗ trợ 635-640 và nhiều khả năng lúa mỳ sẽ tăng giá lên mức 680 trước khi có hướng đi tiếp theo.
Chiến lược giao dịch tuần tới ưu tiên lệnh mua ngắn khi giá tăng vượt qua được mức 660, chúng ta có thể chờ BUY ở mốc này cho mục tiêu ngắn 680.
Một khả năng nữa là nếu lúa mỳ tiếp tục giảm và vượt xuống dưới mức 635, chúng ta sẽ chuyển sang SELL hàng hóa này, nhưng điều này có thể phải thực hiện ở tuần thứ 2 của tháng 7.
Nhận định về Ngô – hợp đồng tháng 9.2021 (ZCU)
Ngô có một tuần giảm điểm mạnh thứ 2 liên tiếp, giá ngô đóng cửa cuối tuần qua là mức 530.2 và được dự báo có thể tiếp tục giảm điểm.
Xu hướng điều chỉnh giảm ở khung lớn và giảm ở khung D1, H4 khiến cho chúng ta thấy rằng tuần tiếp theo Ngô sẽ tiếp đà giảm giá, mốc giá tiếp theo mà Ngô có thể giảm về đó là mức 502 đến 508.
Chiến lược giao dịch tuần tới là ưu tiên lệnh SELL cho mục tiêu giá Ngô ở 50x, mức giá khuyến khị SELL là điểm mua nằm dưới vùng hỗ trợ, kháng cự hiện tại ở 530. Lưu ý là giá nằm dưới mới vào lệnh SELL.
Nhận định về đậu tương tháng 8.2021(ZSQ)
Tuần thứ 3 liên tiếp giảm điểm khiến cho đậu tương tháng 8 giảm từ 1600 về mức hiện tại 1300, đây là biên độ giảm giá rất lớn của đậu tương, hàng hóa quan trọng trong nhóm nông sản.
Xu hướng điều chỉnh giảm ở khung lớn Week, Month và hình thành xu hướng giảm ở D1, H4 cho thấy tuần tiếp theo 28.6 đến 2.7.2021 đậu tương có thể tiếp tục giảm giá, mốc giá hỗ trợ tiếp theo của đậu tương là 121x.
Về nhận định tuần tới nhà đầu tư ưu tiên tiếp tục bán, lệnh SELL có thể được kích hoạt ở mức giá 135x khi giá hồi lại hỗ trợ của đậu ở khung D1, nếu giá giảm ngay và nằm dưới 1290 chúng ta cũng có thể vào lệnh SELL. Mục tiêu nhắc lại là vùng 121x.
Nhận định về thị trường khô đậu tương – đồ thị tháng 8.2021 (ZMQ)
Khô đậu tương đã tạo được xu hướng giảm giá ở các khung từ tuần, ngày, H4 chính vì vậy không khó để chọn chiến lược giao dịch của khô lúc này là SELL theo xu hướng.
Về nhận định tuần tới, nhà đầu tư có thể vào lệnh SELL ở mức giá tiềm năng ở mức 458 cho mục tiêu đầu tiên ở 340 hoặc giữ lệnh cho mục tiêu dài hơn.
Nhân định về thị trường dầu đậu tương – phân tích đồ thị tháng 8.2021 (ZLU)
Dầu đậu có mức biến động nhiều phiên với biên độ rất lớn, nhà đầu tư thực sực cần lưu ý với hàng hóa này và chỉ vào lệnh khi có cơ hội rõ ràng và có điểm dừng lỗ hợp lí, không quá ngắn nhưng tuyệt đối không được phép không đặt dừng lỗ.
Xu hướng nhìn chung vẫn là điều chỉnh, dầu đậu vẫn chưa đi hết chu kỳ và đang trong pha sóng điều chỉnh, đo đó các nhà đầu tư an toàn có thể chưa giao dịch khúc này, nếu giao dịch ngắn có thể giao dịch theo trend giảm của các khung nhỏ, trước mắt chúng tôi cập nhật theo phương án khung nhỏ.
Về chiến lược giao dịch, nhà đầu tư nên giao dịch khi giá nằm dưới mức 58.1x ở khung D1, lệnh SELL này sẽ giữ tới vùng giá 49.00
Trên đây là Một số nhận định thị trường hàng hóa tuần 28.6 đến 2.7.2021, chúng tôi cập nhật chi tiết trong Room Kênh Zalo: https://zalo.me/g/wznpnm651 | Kênh Telegram: https://t.me/thitruongtuonglai . Nhà đầu tư đăng ký mở tài khoản để được hỗ trợ.
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